Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 14.445644 16.830557 19.427079 22.456261 25.885107 29.637726 34.047040
2025-06-22 10.603961 13.907624 17.871438 22.939044 29.202994 36.646485 46.110842
2025-06-29 8.004370 11.563395 16.180270 22.521380 30.904155 41.495688 55.761136
2025-07-06 6.120366 9.629835 14.502866 21.617855 31.567060 44.786739 63.439255
2025-07-13 5.400810 9.113625 14.560937 22.910978 35.111810 51.964708 76.599822
2025-07-20 4.793458 8.625350 14.535799 23.998992 38.373227 58.911444 89.864076
2025-07-27 4.214157 8.062778 14.286668 24.664880 41.002564 65.077096 102.372908
2025-08-03 3.642002 7.402254 13.770522 24.813153 42.798217 70.081269 113.449654
2025-08-10 3.065466 6.625719 12.942363 24.330212 43.508500 73.436401 122.206720
2025-08-17 2.565788 5.896986 12.085341 23.673958 43.830871 76.148342 130.069857
2025-08-24 2.139781 5.230143 11.239081 22.918616 43.879681 78.371098 137.228990
2025-08-31 1.760985 4.585151 10.337092 21.942920 43.429450 79.701491 142.973687
2025-09-07 1.615186 4.446350 10.450480 22.961937 46.748082 87.781242 160.694512
2025-09-14 1.416908 4.153441 10.225013 23.335470 48.994675 94.311858 176.459884
2025-09-21 1.182757 3.717581 9.627540 22.891293 49.672158 98.168507 187.952936
2025-09-28 0.956512 3.240593 8.853796 21.971519 49.326726 100.152521 196.295457
2025-10-05 0.902779 3.219337 9.118514 23.282201 53.456758 110.475535 219.859445
2025-10-12 0.841091 3.160308 9.282543 24.385265 57.251683 120.402600 243.237385
2025-10-19 0.763523 3.033792 9.259543 25.060364 60.215848 128.942830 264.542674
2025-10-26 0.671532 2.836463 9.023234 25.210684 62.084201 135.498318 282.533047
2025-11-02 0.566988 2.565401 8.544308 24.721057 62.528747 139.307322 295.585296
2025-11-09 0.472474 2.297565 8.023334 24.055689 62.514457 142.187256 307.002216
2025-11-16 0.389933 2.044010 7.492634 23.289814 62.190747 144.400781 317.222814